NEC Nijmegen eyes win at Heracles Almelo in Eredivisie clash

NEC Nijmegen eyes win at Heracles Almelo in Eredivisie clash

When NEC Nijmegen travelled to face Heracles Almelo at Asito Stadion on Saturday, August 16, 2025, the stakes felt higher than a typical Round 2 Eredivisie fixture. Kick‑off is set for 18:00 UTC (14:00 local), and the match will be overseen by referee Alex Bos. Both clubs entered the weekend with very different narratives, and the outcome could shape the shape of their campaigns.

Recent Form and Statistical Snapshot

NEC arrived in Almelo on the back of a thunderous 5‑0 demolition of Excelsior at Stadion De Goffert. That win not only vaulted them to second place after week one, it also highlighted a freakish three‑goal‑per‑game average across their last five outings. Defensively, they kept two clean sheets, thanks in part to a back‑three that has conceded just 0.8 goals per match.

Heracles, by contrast, were still licking the wounds of a 4‑0 loss to FC Utrecht last weekend. In that game they managed only 52 % possession and a paltry three shots on target. Their season‑to‑date numbers read 42 goals scored and 63 conceded over 34 matches, equating to an average of 1.24 goals for and 1.85 against per game. At home they fare slightly better – roughly 1.71 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per match – but the away record (0.76 scored, 2.12 conceded) has been a nightmare.

Betting markets reflect the disparity. NEC are priced between +133 and +145, while Heracles sit at +175, indicating that most pundits expect the visitors to take all three points.

Key Players to Watch

The linchpin for NEC is Koki Ogawa. The Japanese forward netted a brace in the season‑opener and has already tallied three goals in the first two matches, making him the league’s early top scorer. His movement inside the box and clinical finishing are the kinds of traits that can dismantle Heracles’ compact back‑four.

Supporting Ogawa are seasoned attackers Bryan Linssen and Tjaronn Chery. Both found the net against Excelsior and will likely rotate on the wings to stretch the Almelo defence.

In midfield, the trio of Dirk Proper, Kodai Sano and Sami Ouaissa will be tasked with feeding the forwards and breaking up any counter‑attacks. Proper, in particular, has already recorded a goal and an assist, indicating his forward thrust.

Heracles will lean on Jizz Hornkamp, the lone striker in their 4‑2‑3‑1 setup. Hornkamp’s work‑rate is high, but he’ll need service from the creative midfield duo of Sem Scheperman and Jan Zamburek. If they can link up with wingers Bryan Limbombe, Thomas Bruns and Tristan van Gilst, Heracles might carve out at least a goal.

A notable absentee for NEC is centre‑back Bram Nuytinck, whose injury remains undisclosed. His likely absence forces defender Philippe Sandler and Calvin Verdonk to shoulder extra responsibility, a challenge they have handled well so far.

Coaches' Tactical Outlook

Dick Schreuder, the Dutch‑Japanese hybrid who took charge of NEC last season, has been vocal about keeping the team "aggressive but compact". In the press conference last week he said, "We want to press high, but we won’t leave gaps for Heracles to exploit. Their counter‑attack can be dangerous if we overcommit."

Across the touchline, Bas Sibum knows his side will need to rediscover confidence. After the Utrecht drubbing, Sibum told local media, "We have to be patient, stick to the game plan, and let our own players find the rhythm. The fans expect more, and we owe them a fighting performance." His preferred 4‑2‑3‑1 aims to keep a solid defensive block while allowing the attacking midfield trio to roam.

Both managers have indicated that set‑pieces could be decisive. NEC’s wing‑backs, Sami Ouaissa and Basar Onal, often deliver dangerous crosses, while Heracles’ centre‑backs have shown an aerial edge in recent training sessions.

What the Result Means for the Season

What the Result Means for the Season

If NEC extends their early winning streak, they solidify a top‑three position and gather momentum ahead of the congested autumn schedule. A three‑point haul would also put pressure on traditional powerhouses who start slower than expected.

For Heracles, even a narrow loss could be a wake‑up call. The club, recently relegated from the top flight before bouncing back, aims to stay clear of the relegation zone. Dropping points early makes the climb steeper, especially given their already low away scoring rate.

Should the match end in a draw, both sides would have missed opportunities. NEC would see their flawless start dented, while Heracles would finally escape the loss column, albeit without a confidence‑boosting win.

Expert Opinions and Betting Markets

Local pundit Marco van Den Heuvel of “Voetbal NL” predicts a 2‑1 victory for NEC, citing their superior goal‑creation metrics. Meanwhile, former Dutch international John Bosman warns that Heracles could spring a surprise if they tighten up defensively and exploit set‑piece routines.

Odds from major bookmakers echo the consensus: NEC at -133, Heracles at +175, with an over/under 2.5 goals line set at 2.10. The market suggests a relatively open game, but most models assign a 68 % probability to an away win.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does this match affect NEC Nijmegen's league position?

A win would cement NEC in the top three after two rounds, giving them a cushion ahead of the busy autumn fixtures. Even a draw keeps them within striking distance of the leaders, while a loss would drop them to fourth or fifth, making the race for European spots tighter.

Which players are most likely to score for Heracles Almelo?

Striker Jizz Hornkamp is the primary threat, especially on the counter‑attack. Midfielders Sem Scheperman and Jan Zamburek could also chip in from distance if the defense leaves space.

What tactical changes might Dick Schreuder make if NEC falls behind?

Schreuder is known for his fluid attacking shape. If trailing, he is likely to push wing‑backs higher, turning the 3‑4‑3 into a more aggressive 3‑5‑2, and bring on an extra forward to overload the Almelo defence.

How significant is Bram Nuytinck's injury for NEC?

Nuytinck’s absence removes a veteran presence from the centre‑back line. While Sandler and Verdonk have been solid, Nuytinck’s leadership and aerial ability could be missed, especially against set‑pieces.

What does a draw mean for Heracles Almelo’s season outlook?

A draw would halt their losing streak and provide a morale boost, but it would still leave them near the bottom of the table. They would need to win subsequent matches to climb out of the relegation zone.

Written by Marc Perel

I am a seasoned journalist specializing in daily news coverage with a focus on the African continent. I currently work for a major news outlet in Cape Town, where I produce in-depth news analysis and feature pieces. I am passionate about uncovering the truth and presenting it to the public in the most understandable way.

J T

NEC's firepower looks unstoppable against Heracles this weekend 😏

A Lina

The statistical discrepancy between NEC and Heracles is stark; NEC's expected goals per 90 exceed 2.5, whereas Heracles struggle below 1.2. Moreover, the defensive structure of Heracles, reflected in a 2.12 goals‑against per away match, signals vulnerability to high‑press systems. Implementing a 3‑5‑2 could exacerbate this, allowing NEC's wing‑backs to inundate the flanks. Consequently, the market odds are rationally aligned with an away victory.

Virginia Balseiro

Wow, what a statement NEC made with that 5‑0 thrashing! If they bring that same intensity to Almelo, the crowd will be left in awe. Koki Ogawa is practically a goal‑magnet right now, and his partnership with Linssen could light up the scoreboard. Let’s hope the team keeps that aggressive‑but‑compact philosophy alive!

Jared Mulconry

I hear the excitement, and while the optimism is contagious, staying grounded is key. A balanced approach will help avoid over‑committing and keep the defensive shape intact.

Brandon Rosso

From an analytical standpoint, NEC possesses a superior goal conversion ratio, and their recent clean‑sheet record underscores defensive solidity. Maintaining such composure under pressure will be paramount in securing three points.

Tracee Dunblazier

While the numbers are indeed compelling, one must also consider the psychological impact of an early setback on Heracles; resilience can sometimes defy statistical expectations.

Edward Garza

Heracles’ defense is a leaky pipe, they’ll be in trouble if NEC keeps up the tempo.

Allen Rodi

Exactly, the key will be to force turnovers high up the pitch; that’s where NEC’s pressing can create decisive chances.

Jody Webster

Sure, everyone’s hype‑ing NEC… but remember that a single red‑card can flip the script!!!

Steve Goodger

It is important to view this upcoming clash not merely as a binary test of offensive firepower versus defensive frailty, but as a nuanced encounter that can teach us many lessons about teamwork and adaptability.
NEC have demonstrated, through their recent five‑goal display, that they possess a high‑pressing rhythm capable of overwhelming opponents who fail to retain composure in tight spaces.
At the same time, the tactical discipline instilled by Dick Schreuder ensures that the team does not sacrifice structural integrity for sheer aggression.
Heracles, on the other hand, have struggled to find consistency away from home, as evidenced by their sub‑one‑goal per away match average, which suggests they need to improve both their transitional defense and attacking support.
Nevertheless, the presence of Jizz Hornkamp provides a focal point for counter‑attacks, especially when the midfield can distribute quickly to exploit spaces left by NEC’s advanced wing‑backs.
The set‑piece situation also offers a valuable arena for both sides, given that NEC’s wing‑backs are adept at delivering dangerous balls while Heracles’ centre‑backs have shown aerial superiority in recent training drills.
From a broader perspective, the mental resilience of the squads will be tested; a single mistake or an early goal can shift momentum dramatically in a tightly contested match.
Coaches on both benches have highlighted the importance of staying patient and sticking to the game plan, a reminder that discipline often translates into points over the course of a season.
Fans of NEC should cherish the early momentum but also be prepared for the inevitable ebbs that follow a high‑intensity approach.
Conversely, Heracles supporters can take solace in the fact that a disciplined defensive block, coupled with quick transitions, can still secure a respectable result even against statistically superior opposition.
The statistical models that assign a 68 % probability to an away win are useful, yet they cannot capture the human element of determination and belief that sometimes overturns expectations.
In the end, the match will likely be decided by which team better controls the tempo and capitalizes on the few clear chances that arise.
Both clubs have the talent to produce moments of brilliance, and the players involved should be encouraged to express themselves within the tactical framework set by their managers.
Regardless of the final scoreline, the experience gained by young players like Koki Ogawa and the exposure to high‑pressure environments will serve them well throughout the campaign.
Thus, while predictions and odds provide a snapshot of current form, the beauty of football lies in its capacity for surprise, and this fixture embodies that spirit.
Let us all watch with open minds, appreciate the skill on display, and support our teams with respect and enthusiasm.